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Memory Alpha

The Drake equation was devised in an attempt to estimate the number of extraterrestrial alien species that could communicate with Humans. The first and more mathematical variation stated:

where:
  • N is the number of extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy with which we might expect to be able to communicate
and
  • R* is the rate of star formation in our galaxy
  • fp is the fraction of those stars which have planets
  • ne is average number of planets which can potentially support life per star that has planets
  • fl is the fraction of the above which actually go on to develop life
  • fi is the fraction of the above which actually go on to develop intelligent life
  • fc is the fraction of the above which are willing and able to communicate
  • L is the expected lifetime of such a civilization


The second variation stated:


In 1996, Rain Robinson had a poster of the two variations of the equation. (VOY: "Future's End")

Background

The Drake equation was devised by Dr. Frank Drake in 1961. It was used by Gene Roddenberry in 1964 in his pitch for Star Trek. He did not have a copy of the equation so he made up his own, which is the "second variation" from "Future's End."

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